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Rain is finally coming to the drought-stricken Amazon. But it may not be enough

Nossa Senhora do Livramento Community, located in the Manaus region, Amazonas. The record drought that hit the Rio Negro in the summer of 2024 affected the entire community. Many residents went to stay with relatives in Manaus, leaving the town empty.
Marizilda Cruppe for NPR
Nossa Senhora do Livramento Community, located in the Manaus region, Amazonas. The record drought that hit the Rio Negro in the summer of 2024 affected the entire community. Many residents went to stay with relatives in Manaus, leaving the town empty.

MANAUS, Brazil — Dark clouds rumble over the tiny Amazon River community of Nossa Senhora do Livramento.

After two years of devastating drought, you might think that residents in this parched and isolated town of about 350 families would be elated that it's finally raining. But many just shrug at the brief torrential downpour. Some liken it to that burst of energy a patient can get moments before death.

Such pessimism is understandable given the devastation this and hundreds of other communities have been experiencing throughout the Amazon. Dependent on its vast riverways for nearly everything, millions of residents have been left high and dry.

In the more than 100 years since river levels have been monitored, never has the mighty Amazon and the major tributaries of the world's largest river system recorded such little rainfall. In October, the Rio Negro hit the lowest levels since records were first kept in 1902.

Janilce Rocha dos Santos, 45, holds her 5 months old baby boy Harley and walks with her husband Arlen Lavareda, 39, to the port where the transport boats stop during the dry season at Nossa Senhora do Livramento Community.
Marizilda Cruppe for NPR /
Janilce Rocha dos Santos, 45, holds her 5-month-old baby boy, Harley, and walks with her husband Arlen Lavareda, 39, to the port where boats stop during the dry season at Nossa Senhora do Livramento.

And now as the annual dry season winds down, anxiety is growing as to whether the rains will come and bring enough water to refill the riverways.

Renato Senna, a climatologist at Brazil's National Institute for Amazon Research, says two years of unprecedented drought will be tough to overcome in just one rainy season. "We thought 2023 was bad, but 2024 has been far worse," he says.

Climate change and increased deforestation are leading contributors to the drought. On top of that, the El Niño weather pattern, which warms the Pacific Ocean waters off South America, was much stronger and longer this year, adding even more heat to the Amazon.

"The rate at which the Amazon is drying up is scary and much faster than anyone predicted," says Senna. In some parts of the Amazon, the annual dry season is now lasting one month longer than it did in the 1970s, according to researchers.

Senna says it's too soon to predict whether the upcoming expected La Niña, a wet weather phenomena, will be stronger than normal and enough to refill the rivers.

The record drought that hit the Rio Negro in the summer of 2024 affected the community of Nossa Senhora do Livramento. In this photo it is possible to see the water levels are so low it is barely navigable and in some places is only 40 centimeters deep.
Marizilda Cruppe for NPR /
The record drought that hit the Rio Negro this summer affected the community of Nossa Senhora do Livramento. In this photo it is possible to see the water levels are so low that the waterway is barely navigable and in some places is little more than 15 inches deep.

Thirty-two-year-old Joelson dos Santos, who lives in Nossa Senhora do Livramento, is hopeful. "God willing, everything will return to normal. The drought has been so severe," he says. The town is about a 30-minute boat ride up the Rio Negro from the Amazon's sprawling city of Manaus.

Dos Santos stands on the now brittle banks of what was a large creek where boats used to be able to power right up to Nossa Senhora do Livramento's main plaza. The creek bed is bone dry, with tall bright green grass covering the once-submerged ground. A few stranded boats are tied to far-off trees.

With the river and creek dry, he hasn't had much construction or electrical work. Instead, he hauls goods to town from the community's pier, which had to be moved farther down river, where the new shoreline now sits.

It's now a 20 to 30-minute walk to town: first crossing the newly exposed beach, then through a well-worn parched trail, winding through tall trees that were once nearly submerged by the river.

Paulo Roberto Ferreira da Silva, leader in the Nossa Senhora do Livramento community, where the forest is usually covered by water in the rainy season. Above Paulo's head, it is possible to see a white horizontal line on the trunk, a mark of where the water level reached during 2024 winter.
Marizilda Cruppe for NPR /
Paulo Roberto Ferreira da Silva, leader in the Nossa Senhora do Livramento community, where the forest is usually covered by water in the rainy season. Above his head, it is possible to see a white horizontal line on the trunk, a mark of where the water level reached during Brazil's winter.

As community leader Paulo Roberto Ferreira da Silva walks the trail, he points to white marks more than 13 feet overhead on the trees where the water line used to reach. "This was the best fishing," he says. He, too, is waiting for more rain.

With so little rain, large beaches and huge sandbars have emerged on the Amazon River and its tributaries, cutting off whole communities. In Amazonas state, which has few major roadways, the river is vital for transporting food, fresh drinking water and all types of commerce. More than 60 municipalities have declared a state of emergency under the drought.

Boat operator João Aroldo Vieira lives outside the state capital of Manaus. He maneuvers his small rig around a huge sandbar that has emerged at the popular point where the black waters of the Rio Negro meet the pale-green Amazon River. The two don't mix.

Because of the drought, the port for transport boats in Nossa Senhora do Livramento Community, had to be moved to a place far from the center of the community.
Marizilda Cruppe for NPR /
Because of the drought, the port for transport boats in Nossa Senhora do Livramento had to be moved to a place far from the center of the community.

He says watching the water disappear is sad. "The land just keeps growing and there is not enough river for us to move." His community has been hit really hard by the drought.

Officials are dredging parts of the Amazon to keep the waterways open and have increased the number of ferries crossing the rivers to access the limited highways between major cities.

Isair Lazaretti is waiting on a barge to cross the Rio Negro into Manaus, where he'll get on one of the only roads available to transport his load of steel wiring.

He prefers taking a barge down the river when it's full and can support bigger loads. "It's better, you don't wear out your truck, there's no wear and tear," he says. He recently lost an axle on the bumpy roads of the Amazon, not to mention the exhaustion of the long lonely drives.

Workers and residents at Nossa Senhora do Livramento community, in the Manaus region, walk to catch the small boat that will take them to Manaus mucicipality.
Marizilda Cruppe for NPR /
Workers and residents at Nossa Senhora do Livramento community, in the Manaus region, walk to catch the small boat that will take them to the state capital city of Manaus.

The drought has had a punishing impact on food prices too. At Manaus' giant fish market, monger Dantas Abreu sells one of the Amazon's largest fishes, the pirarucu. He says his costs have jumped some 25%. He estimates he's lost about half of his clientele.

"I'm 50 years old and I've never seen two droughts like these before," he says. He blames deforestation.

Abreu has two kids and worries about their future with more severe weather.

"We are feeling it now," he says, "but our children will feel it much more."

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Carrie Kahn is NPR's International Correspondent based in Mexico City, Mexico. She covers Mexico, the Caribbean, and Central America. Kahn's reports can be heard on NPR's award-winning news programs including All Things Considered, Morning Edition and Weekend Edition, and on NPR.org.